Germany Populist Uprising Parallels Rise of Donald Trump in the World Report US News US

Austria # 39; warns against the incumbent populism and xenophobia

Foreign business are redoing the national policy on both sides of the Atlantic in the US property magnate and personality Donald Trump TV is well on its way to ensure the presidential nomination of the Republican Party Meanwhile , Germany, Frauke Petry, a business woman with a doctorate in chemistry, turned the political order upside the head of alternative fur Deutschland, an upstart political party that has performed surprisingly well in three elections regional meetings held last Sunday.
In both countries, the formula for success insurgent involved riding and encourage a wave of populist anger and fear, much directed to immigrants in both countries, political institutions long underestimated the depth of the challenge and in both countries the stark consequences are just beginning to come into view.
In some ways, the success of Donald Trump is the most remarkable of the two, he mentioned something out of nothing, or very little, storming to the top of the Grand Ole Party with anti-immigrant message absence an objective crisis of immigration deportations of illegal immigrants are at record levels, net migration from Mexico is at or near zero, according to experts, and the number of Syrian refugees should resettle in the States United 10 000 represents an insignificant percentage of the US population.
Yet Trump promises to seal the southern border and prohibit Muslims from entering the country resonated deeply with many American voters at least Frauke Petry can point to a measurable increase in the number of immigrants arriving in Germany more than a million in 2015 alone, it has broken the mold, though, taking a party formed originally by a couple of German economics professors in 2013 to protest against the way the government crisis the euro area and repurposing to take advantage of growing public concern about the crisis of Syrian refugees.

Despite differences in the facts on the ground, the two foreign business fired on their business backgrounds and skills to succeed Telling as it is and give people what they want are hardly radical approaches in the private sector, but in the day of this policy these are received as novel, even extraordinary, offering supporters Trump and AFD voters alike find their policy prescriptions to cut simple and effective breath Don t just want more immigrants build a wall and make foreigners pay for what Trump Shoot with regret Petry institutions stumble at the audacity and effectiveness of the sales pitch.
Of course, the question is why Trump and Petry now enjoy this incredible success when the economic front, the two countries are good enough and concerns about immigration are not new.
The political market for anti-immigrant appeals is large and primed in each country, a product of the 2008 recession and persistent and the uneven impact in the United States, poor, less educated white men form the core of electoral battalions Trump In Germany, AFD strongly appeals to a similar demographic and average low-class and working-class east Germans the __gVirt_NP_NN_NNPS<__ calcul politique est très similaire dans les deux pays, les gens dont le statut social et économique a discales, qui sont confrontés à des perspectives risquées et incertaines avec des réserves réduites et le statut, embrasser avec enthousiasme la politique de ressentiment, la peur de déplacement et de nostalgie pour le bon vieux temps.
Malgré les similitudes, les insurrections Trump et Petry se jouent de manière très différente, avec des implications très différentes pour les établissements politiques de chaque pays Trump mène une OPA hostile d'un deux principaux partis du pays, et s'il réussit, le l'impact poursuivra bien au-delà des frontières du Parti républicain à certains égards, il s avait pas d'autre choix que d'aller dans cette voie, compte tenu des obstacles quasi insurmontables à la formation de tiers qui existent dans le Petry États-Unis a tracé un chemin vers le pouvoir en grimpant au sommet d'une petite partie de la frange qui a coupé ses dents d'abord sur une plate-forme anti-Union européenne Afd est peu probable que jamais détenir le pouvoir, en particulier au niveau national, mais il pourrait jouer le rôle de faiseur si elle parvient à rester autour assez longtemps, et à court terme, sa performance pourrait inciter les politiques et le personnel soubresauts dans les grands partis, y compris la position d'Angela Merkel en tant que chef de l'Union chrétienne-démocrate et chancelier.
Beaucoup d'encre sera renversé par la presse américaine et allemande sur les conséquences de la politique intérieure d'une victoire de Trump en Novembre ou mars poursuivi par le Afd à travers les institutions parlementaires de la démocratie allemande Il est brièvement mérite d'être méditée l'impact possible sur le germano- relation américaine, qui sert de point d'appui de l'ordre transatlantique et ici, il est difficile de penser à un seul objectif commun qui sortir indemne d'une victoire par l'un ou l'autre de ces étrangers politiques sanctions partenariat pour le commerce et les investissements transatlantiques morts Russie Autant en emporte le accord de Paris sur les changements climatiques Unplugged Et la liste continue quelque chose à garder à l'esprit pour la prochaine fois que quelqu'un vous dit que les élections n ai pas les conséquences.

Jeffrey Anderson is Professor Graf Goltz and director of the Center for German and European Studies BMW in the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University.

• Austria # 39; warns against the incumbent populism and xenophobia



Germany Populist Uprising Parallels Rise of Donald Trump in the World Report US News US, Germany, populist, donald.